Site Title

Blog

  • Three events that changed Indian history forever

    For any country, there are certain defining moments that change the course of its history. In my opinion, for India, there are three decisive events that not only changed its history but also altered the dynamics of its power and strength in the South Asian region. Although I do not agree with many policies of Congress party in general and that of Mrs. Indira Gandhi in particular , I strongly agree that there have been three events under the Congress government that changed the course of Indian history.

    The first is the nuclear test carried out on 18th May 1974 by the Congress government under the leadership of Mrs. Gandhi. The test was done under the garb of peaceful use of nuclear energy but some reports and experts assert that the test was done to give India minimum deterrence against China. India had lost 1962 war with China . China conducted its first nuclear test in 1967 and with Pakistan on one side and the nuclear armed China on another side, it became imperative for India to become “nuclear capable”. The test conducted in Pokhran located in the state of Rajasthan was the first one conducted by a non permanent member of United Nations thereby making India the sixth nuclear powered nation in the world. It does not matter if the test was meant for peaceful purpose or to develop nuclear deterrence against China, what matters is that India developed capability to channelize the nuclear energy to its benefit. This test paved the way for future research and development of nuclear energy. Two prominent figures who played a vital role in “Smiling Buddha”, as it was codenamed, were Homi Bhabha, also considered as the father of Indian nuclear program, and Raja Ramanna, who was also instrumental in weaponizing the nuclear energy for India.

    The second event was the liberation of Bangladesh by the Indian armed forces in 1971. There has not been a single event in the world history after World War – II where a nation was created by use of military might. The thirteen day war with Pakistan freed Bangladesh from the shackles of ethnic violence and discrimination perpetrated by the West Pakistan on the East Pakistan, as Bangladesh was called prior to 1971. It was not only a grand success of the Indian armed forces but it garnered reverence from around the world for India as a global emerging power to reckon with.

    The third moment was the Liberalization of Indian economy in 1991. India experienced a spiraling economical downfall after the disintegration of Soviet Union in 1989, mostly due to our reliance on the Soviet block for almost everything that is required to run a country. Under the leadership of P.V Narsimha Rao and the finance minister Dr. Manmohan Singh, India opened its economy to the western world, especially United States. The policies led to massive investments by United States in India which led to the spawning of call centers across the country. U.S and the western world capitalized on India’s large English speaking population that created thousands of well paid jobs thereby rescuing the country out of its economical predicament. This surge in the creation of “call center” jobs was just the beginning. The next wave of investment from the U.S into India focused on the Information Technology sector creating a plethora of technology related jobs. It changed the outlook of many Indian cities like Hyderabad, Bangalore, Pune, Mumbai and Delhi which transformed into “Tech hubs”. Innovation became a synonym of the Indian IT workforce. Indian professionals began travelling to the U.S thereby further enhancing the image of India from merely a country of snake charmers to a country with a large tech savvy population. Another outcome of this transformation was that it brought millions of Indians out of sheer poverty and destitute.

    Like any other country, India too had its share of unwise decisions and grave mistakes, but in my opinion, the aforementioned events changed the destiny of the country forever.

  • Is Pakistan’s nuclear threat a bluff?

    The horrors of the atomic bombs dropped by United States on Japan in 1945 shook the soul of humanity. Never had the world seen devastation of this magnitude before. Thousands perished within a few hours of the explosion and many thousands died in the following months. Those who survived suffered malnutrition and developed fatal skin diseases due to the radioactive smoke. Infrastructure of the two Japanese was severally damaged and it took years and years of rehabilitation efforts to pump in life back to these cities.

    The ongoing conflict between India and Pakistan has brought the two arch rivals close to a nuclear conflict again. Pakistani administration has reiterated as always that in case matters escalate and in case if it faces existential threat, it will strike India with its nuclear arsenal. India, on the other hand, is calling it a bluff.

    Dealing with a rogue state like Pakistan, which has a dwindling economy and internal instability is not easy. Pakistani army is loosing ground to Baluchistan Liberation Army and is facing causalities on that front every day. To add to its predicament, the country is encountering violent unrest from Afghan Taliban and TTP in its Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province. There are reports that the people of Pakistan are already losing faith in their armed forces. Given the historical track record of Pakistan being a safe heaven for terrorism, there is always a risk of some one pressing the nuclear button.

    It is evident that the incumbent chief of army staff of Pakistan has a Jihadi mindset. His hatred for Hindus is not hidden from the world, especially after his press conference in which he stated that Hindus and Muslims are different in all aspects and cannot live together. The most dangerous mindset in the world is the one which is driven by religious extremism. Those who think that they are fighting a “holy war” and will go to heaven after killing people of a particular community are the most difficult to subdue. It is almost impossible to subdue an ideology, especially if it is centered around dying for one’s religion or a believe system. Although, I strongly believe that the people of Pakistan are generally kind and generous, the Pakistani administration and its Army reflects this “Jihadi” ideology.

    There is an argument from the Indian defense experts that Pakistan did not conducted nuclear strike during Kargil War and therefore, will not do it in future conflicts as well. I think there is a gap in this line of thought. Kargil war was limited to a certain geographical area and did not escalated. The Indian army was strictly ordered to not to cross the line of control at any cost. To add to it, it had been proven to the world that Pakistani army personal and the insurgents had captured the Indian peaks, therefore exposing the country in front of the international community. The scope of a nuclear exchange between the two countries was further diminished with the intervention of Mr. Bill Clinton and the U.S administration.

    Things have a taken a different turn after Kargil war. The unsuccessful “Operation Parakaram” launched by the Indian army in wake of the Parliament attack in 2001 led India to adopt “Cold Start Doctrine” which states that smaller integrated units of armed forces would quickly mobilize and launch strikes into the POK or Pakistani territory thereby rendering it unnecessary for an escalation. Pakistan in turn changed its nuclear doctrine to include the use of “tactical Nuclear weapons” with less impact and lower yield aiming at the advancing Indian armed forces. Indian position on this that that any attack on Indian military with these TNW would be met with a crushing response of a full fledge nuclear strike.

    Now what does Pakistan considers as an existential threat? There is no lucid answer to this but as per the defense minister of Pakistan, if the country looses vast territory or if India carries out a blockade of Pakistan either through the sea route or aerial route, it would be considered as an existential threat. He also implied that if India stops the water entering into Pakistan by abolishing the Indus Water Treaty completely, that would also be considered as an existential threat.

    Given all these factors, I am of an opinion that Pakistan’s nuclear threat to India is not a bluff, especially in case of an all out war.

  • Is opposition right in demanding quick action from Indian armed forces?

    In 1939, the Nazi Germany launched “Blitzkrieg” on Poland which caused the entire defense machinery of Poland to collapse within less than a month. Element of surprise plays a vital role in any conflict. However, it requires years of preparation to launch a surprise assault on the enemy. It took around seven years of rigorous preparations for the Nazi Germany to plan and implement its aggressive policy on Poland and the eastern Europe.

    In context of the ongoing friction between India and Pakistan following the Pahalgam attack, some opposition parties are questioning the delay in giving a befitting reply to Pakistan. I disagree with opposition’s stand on this and think that it is making these statements to gain political milage. While the leader of the opposition, Mr. Rahul Gandhi has stated that he firmly stands with whatever action Indian government takes, some of the leaders in his party have expressed their concern over delay in kinetic action by the Indian armed forces.

    These leaders have to go back into history and contemplate what Chief Marshal Sam Manekshaw said to Mrs. Indira Gandhi when she asked him to cross the Bangladesh border. Chief Marshal Sam clearly conveyed to the then Prime minister that in order to guarantee a hundred percent victory, he needs a few months to prepare. In another statement by Major General (Retired) G.D Bakshi, Indian army (or as a matter of fact, any army) works best when it prepares methodically.

    It is always better for an army to prepare itself for a conflict instead of diving in with blind eyes and losing a war. There is no bigger embarrassment for an armed force of any country to face a loss in the battlefield. It puts a blemish on the face of a country and makes people loose faith in its armed forces. Consider what happened to IPKF in Sri Lanka in 1989. Indian army went in there and had to face causalities. We should never lose sight of the reality that these are two nuclear armed countries locked in horns. Even a strong country like Israel took around twenty days to launch its attack on Hamas, and they were dealing with an organization, not a nuclear armed country like Pakistan.

    I do have a strong stand that the terrorist ecosystem of Pakistan cannot be completely dismantled though military might alone, but if the war is imposed on India and if it is absolutely unavoidable, then it is better to prepare for it meticulously.

    It is the time that the opposition leaders taking a dig at the Indian armed forces take a step back and unite with the country in these trying times. It is a time when people, especially at the helm, take a rational approach and take into account repercussions of every action without just beating the war drums.

  • Major Gaurav Arya: Patriotism or Jingoism?

    I firmly believe that patriotism or love for one’s country is a great emotion. One should not ask what the country has given to him but what the person has given to the country. One should take pride in one’s country and cherish its great history and culture.

    There is however a fine line separating nationalism and jingoism. While nationalism or patriotism strengthens the country, both from internal and external foes, jingoism or what I sometimes call as “blind patriotism” can drift the thinking away from reality and rationality.

    I have faith in the Indian armed forces and take great pride in its capabilities to repulse any misadventure from Pakistan and China. I too have faith in the Indian foreign policy and its diplomatic weight. However, I cannot turn a blind eye on the ground reality. I refuse to let this “blind patriotism” create a fog in my mind and impair my thinking.

    I have been following Major Gaurav Arya’s You tube channel since a few years now and I do appreciate his insights on issues pertaining to defense and geopolitics. However, as I watch his videos more and more, I have now started to believe that he suffers from this Jingoism as well, at least to a certain extent. His thoughts are driven by this “blind patriotism” and do not take into account a holistic view of the actual situation.

    Lets take the recent Indo-Canadian diplomatic row over the growing footprint of Khalistan movement in Canada. Major’s analysis was driven mostly by emotions failing to take into account what the reality might be. Although I do agree that Khalistan movement has lost its relevance and Canada needs to take imperative steps to dismantle Khalistan stronghold, one should not paint an incorrect picture of the country thereby creating false impressions.

    During the Indo-Canadian row, Major Gaurav Arya, while lashing out at Canada stated that – “Canada ek bada sa Gaon hai”, implying that Canada is just like a big village. In another of his statements, he specified that we (India) have better armed forces, better diplomacy and more money than Canada. I was flabbergasted by his thoughts. Does he even fact check what he says? I am inclined to believe that he probably does not. Or if he does that, he makes these assertions just to create a false impression on his viewers or to get more likes on his videos. If Major wants to engage in “Khalistan bashing”, its his right to do so and express his opinion about it, but it should be done by dissecting and criticizing the Khalistan movement and the Canadian policies that allows it to perpetrate. It should not be done by creating a false image of a country or by disseminating lies. Oratory does has a mesmerizing effect on people and it seems it is working for him.

    Canada’s reality is a very different one from that of India. Unlike India, Canada does not have any border disputes with any country. India, on the other hand is sitting in one of the most dangerous regions in the world. Surrounded by nuclear armed enemies like Pakistan and China necessitates India to have a strong military. On diplomacy and foreign policy, Major is again wrong. Canada has played a vital role in various peacekeeping missions across the world from Suez canal crises to Rwanda crises to Balkan crises. It has played a crucial role in creating bridge between India and the western world after the Indian independence. The first nuclear test that India conducted under the able leadership of Mrs. Indira Gandhi in 1974 was done using “CIRUS” reactor which was made in Canada.

    On his fractured opinion that Canada is just like a big village, I would recommend he get his facts right by reading something about Toronto, which has evolved to become among the top five most economically powerful cities in North America. Even the country as a whole is highly industrialized with one of the highest research output in the world.

    While I do agree that it is important to take sides on issues concerning national security, I strongly disagree that one should undermine a nation with arguments that do not fall under the precinct of truth and actual reality. It is a universal adage that one should even respect his enemy and acknowledge its strengths, something that Major Gaurav Arya fails to do in his videos.

  • How successful has India been in isolating Pakistan globally?

    Propaganda plays an important role during national conflicts and wars. It has a unifying effect on the country and gives its people a common voice. May it be the “Tokyo Rose” in the Pacific theater between United States and Japan or the evil rhetoric propagated by the Nazis against Jews, propaganda is a potent weapon in building a narrative against the enemy state or against a particular community.

    But the coin has other side as well. Propaganda can be extremely vicious and can fill the minds of people with venom. It can sway the thinking away from the reality and create a fallacy.

    Amid the ongoing tensions between India and Pakistan in wake of the Pahalgam attack, this propaganda emanating from the media houses has taken a front seat on both sides of the border. The press industry is beating the war drums and each side is boasting its military might to crush each other and its diplomatic prowess to garner the support of the international community.

    In a recent interview of an Indian politician, it was mentioned that Indian government has successfully isolated Pakistan on the global stage. It was further communicated that the entire world is firmly standing with India. Nothing is far from the truth. Although the entire world has condemned the cowardly attack that claimed 28 innocent lives, all countries have asked for restrain and de-escalation of the situation.

    Have we really isolated Pakistan? The answer is no. Even if the west has chosen to take a neutral stand, Pakistan has three staunch allies, Turkey, China and Bangladesh. China recently stated that Pakistan is its “Ironclad” friend. With investments running into billions, it is highly unlikely that it will abandon Pakistan for its wrongdoings. Pakistan accounts for eighty percent of arms exports from China. There are even speculations that Pakistan surreptitiously informed China about the Pahalgam attack. Whether China will provide direct assistance to Pakistan in case of an all out war is something that is contentious, but one thing is for certain. It will aid Pakistan, both financially and militarily.

    Turkey is another country on which Pakistan is relying. The two countries have very strong ties that go back historically. Both being Sunni majority countries share a lot in common, especially culturally. It has been reported that Turkey is already assisting Pakistan to build its Cyber warfare capabilities. The country’s unwavering support to Pakistan on Kashmir issue is known to the Indian administration and the world at large.

    Recent anti-India sentiments in Bangladesh has changed the geopolitical landscape in the South Asian region. The country owes its independence to India but since the last few years, has found an ally in Pakistan. Trade, especially the one centered around defense is increasing every year with Pakistan supplying fighter squadrons to the Bangladesh Air force. The peril for India here is that in case of an armed conflict with Pakistan, Bangladesh might open its front giving a strategic and military advantage to Pakistan.

    When it comes to western countries, their stand on the crises is neutral. Even though they have condemned the Pahalgam attack, they have asked both sides to de-escalate the matter. European Union has even taken a step further and recognized Pakistan’s efforts in combating terrorism. This is a shocking statement for a country with a track record of supporting terror activities, not only in India but in Afghanistan and Iran as well. Dr. S Jaishankar has already lashed out at EU for its “double standards”.

    So, should Pakistan be isolated? I believe yes. But is it a reality? The answer is no. Can it happen at least in the near future? Unfortunately, the answer again is no.

  • Why India cannot resolve the “Kashmir” problem militarily?

    The year 1971 was one of the most decisive in the history of South Asia. It changed geographical, military, and political landscape of the entire region. Indian Armed forces gave a crushing blow to the Pakistani armed forces resulting in the formation of Bangladesh.

    Move forward to the year 2025 and we are on the brink of another war with Pakistan. The dastardly act of violence that took place on 22nd April in the picturesque valley of Kashmir shook the entire nation. Twenty eight Innocent lives were lost and the region has once again become a boiling point between the two nuclear armed nations.

    Kashmir is one of the most volatile regions in the world. Since the end of cold war, there has been no other region across the world where the danger of nuclear conflict looms larger than it does in Kashmir. India and Pakistan have fought four wars, three out of which had their nucleus point on Kashmir.

    After the recent Pahalgam attack, India is adamant to bring the perpetrators to books. The country is taking a wide range of reciprocal actions from diplomatic to political to economical to bring justice to the people who lost their lives at the hands of the terrorists. Military action is also on the table and this is evident from the recent decision by the prime minister Modi to give full “operational freedom” to the Armed forces. While there is no second thought that terrorism emanating from across the border should be nipped in the bud and peace returns to the valley but can Kashmir problem really be solved through military might? Can we stop terrorism once and for all through the path of war? I strongly think that it cannot be.

    India’s victory in 1971 was a very different situation. At that time, both the countries were not nuclear armed. Conventional war was the only way and it is a reality even accepted by Pakistan that it cannot overpower India in a conventional war. The situation has since then changed drastically. Today, both countries are armed to the teeth when it comes to nuclear weapons. The situation becomes more critical when considering that India is dealing with a very rouge state and a rogue army chief.

    One of the things that cannot be changed is your geographical neighbor. Pakistan has already put forward its stand that any existential threat that it faces will be met with a nuclear strike. A failed state like Pakistan has nothing to loose. In case of an all out war, and in case if it faces an existential threat, it will not think twice before launching a nuclear strike against India and opening the gates of hell, not only in the South Asian region but on the whole world. The rhetoric, especially in the media, on both sides of the border is not only nonsensical but dangerous. From the Indian point of view, the country states that if Pakistan presses the nuclear button on India, it can absorb the impact owing to its vast size and depth. But when India retaliates, there will be no Pakistan. Things are more complicated than this when we contemplate it pragmatically.

    Lets go back in history and consider the devastating impact of nuclear bombs dropped by United States on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in Japan. The bombs dropped on these aforementioned cities were 15 kiloton. Today, consider the impact if only one Shaheen 3 missile with 40 kiloton yield drops on Delhi or Mumbai. The impact will be so devastating that it will take decades for India to recover from it. Can India, one of the fastest progressing countries in the world, a country with an ambition to become a superpower and a country that is increasingly playing a vital role in the global geopolitical domain, afford it? The answer is categorically no. Indian dream of becoming a superpower and the notion of “Incredible India” will be shattered. Lets leave the nuclear war aside, even a conventional war throws a country decades back, both economically and environmentally.

    The solution to destroying “Pakistan’s terror ecosystem” is to destroy Pakistan diplomatically, politically and economically. Pakistan is already encountering challenges in Baluchistan and along the Afghanistan border. The country’s international credit rating is “C” and it has been termed as a “Junk” economy. Let it die its own death.

  • The Art of Connection

    The Art of Connection

    Welcome to WordPress! This is a sample post. Edit or delete it to take the first step in your blogging journey. To add more content here, click the small plus icon at the top left corner. There, you will find an existing selection of WordPress blocks and patterns, something to suit your every need for content creation. And don’t forget to check out the List View: click the icon a few spots to the right of the plus icon and you’ll get a tidy, easy-to-view list of the blocks and patterns in your post.

  • Beyond the Obstacle

    Beyond the Obstacle

    Welcome to WordPress! This is a sample post. Edit or delete it to take the first step in your blogging journey. To add more content here, click the small plus icon at the top left corner. There, you will find an existing selection of WordPress blocks and patterns, something to suit your every need for content creation. And don’t forget to check out the List View: click the icon a few spots to the right of the plus icon and you’ll get a tidy, easy-to-view list of the blocks and patterns in your post.

  • Growth Unlocked

    Growth Unlocked

    Welcome to WordPress! This is a sample post. Edit or delete it to take the first step in your blogging journey. To add more content here, click the small plus icon at the top left corner. There, you will find an existing selection of WordPress blocks and patterns, something to suit your every need for content creation. And don’t forget to check out the List View: click the icon a few spots to the right of the plus icon and you’ll get a tidy, easy-to-view list of the blocks and patterns in your post.

  • Collaboration Magic

    Collaboration Magic

    Welcome to WordPress! This is a sample post. Edit or delete it to take the first step in your blogging journey. To add more content here, click the small plus icon at the top left corner. There, you will find an existing selection of WordPress blocks and patterns, something to suit your every need for content creation. And don’t forget to check out the List View: click the icon a few spots to the right of the plus icon and you’ll get a tidy, easy-to-view list of the blocks and patterns in your post.